| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m16d.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP7W/394PE4H | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19/2011/02.01.17.58 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2011:02.01.18.03.58 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19/2011/02.01.17.58.44 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2022:03.05.04.16.43 (UTC) administrator | |||
| Secondary Key | INPE--PRE/ | |||
| DOI | 10.1016/j.jag.2010.09.008 | |||
| ISSN | 1569-8432 | |||
| Citation Key | MaedaAlXiFoShPe:2011:SiPaFu | |||
| Title | Dynamic modeling of forest conversion: Simulation of past and future scenarios of rural activities expansion in the fringes of the Xingu National Park, Brazilian Amazon  | |||
| Year | 2011 | |||
| Month | June | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 18 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 2218 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Maeda, Eduardo E. 2 Almeida, Cláudia Maria de 3 Ximenes, Arimatéa de Carvalho 4 Formaggio, Antonio Roberto 5 Shimabukuro, Yosio Edemir 6 Pellikka, Petri | |||
| Resume Identifier | 1 2 8JMKD3MGP5W/3C9JGS3 | |||
| Group | 1 2 DSR-OBT-INPE-MCT-BR 3 DSR-OBT-INPE-MCT-BR 4 DSR-OBT-INPE-MCT-BR 5 DSR-OBT-INPE-MCT-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 University of Helsinki, Department of Geosciences and Geography, Gustaf Hällströmin katu 2, 00014 Helsinki, Finland 2 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 3 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 6 University of Helsinki, Department of Geosciences and Geography, Gustaf Hällströmin katu 2, 00014 Helsinki, Finland | |||
| Journal | International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation | |||
| Volume | 13 | |||
| Number | 3 | |||
| Pages | 435-446 | |||
| Secondary Mark | A2_GEOCIÊNCIAS B4_GEOGRAFIA | |||
| History (UTC) | 2011-07-25 13:29:19 :: marciana :: 2010 -> 2011 2011-07-25 13:31:21 :: marciana -> administrator :: 2011 2011-07-25 14:03:18 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2011 2011-11-04 12:16:47 :: marciana -> administrator :: 2011 2016-06-04 23:14:47 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2011 2016-08-19 13:18:21 :: marciana -> administrator :: 2011 2022-03-05 04:16:43 :: administrator -> marciana :: 2011 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | finaldraft | |||
| Keywords | Land use change Xingu National Park Brazilian Amazon Simulation model Landscape dynamics.LAND-COVER-CHANGE CELLULAR-AUTOMATA MODEL LANDSCAPE DYNAMICS DEFORESTATION IMAGES | |||
| Abstract | The present work is committed to simulate the expansion of agricultural and cattle raising activities within a watershed located in the fringes of the Xingu National Park, Brazilian Amazon. A spatially explicit dynamic model of land cover and land use change was used to provide both past and future scenarios of forest conversion into such rural activities, aiming to identify the role of driving forces of change in the study area. The employed modeling platform Dinamica EGO consists in a cellular automata environment that embodies neighborhood-based transition algorithms and spatial feedback approaches in a stochastic multi-step simulation framework. Biophysical variables and legal restrictions drove this simulation model, and statistical validation tests were then conducted for the generated past simulations (from 2000 to 2005), by means of multiple resolution fitting methods. Based on optimal calibration of past simulations, future scenarios were conceived, so as to figure out trends and spatial patterns of forest conversion in the study area for the year 2015. In all simulated scenarios, pasturelands remained nearly stable throughout the analyzed period, while a large expansion in croplands took place. The most optimistic scenario indicates that more than 50% of the natural forest will be replaced by either cropland or pastureland by 2015. This modeling experiment revealed the suitability of the adopted model to simulate processes of forest conversion. It also indicates its possible further applicability in generating simulations of deforestation for areas with expanding rural activities in the Amazon and in tropical forests worldwide. | |||
| Area | SRE | |||
| Arrangement | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > DIDSR > Dynamic modeling of... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Language | en | |||
| Target File | almeida.pdf | |||
| User Group | administrator marciana | |||
| Reader Group | administrator marciana | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Archiving Policy | denypublisher denyfinaldraft | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Mirror Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02.53 | |||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3ER446E | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/09.13.21.11 3 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; MGA. | |||
| Host Collection | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m19@80/2009/08.21.17.02 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress electronicmailaddress format isbn label lineage mark nextedition notes orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | marciana | |||
| update | ||||